The market focusing has been shifted to the US labor
report of August which will be released today from the ECB's
yesterday awaited decision of buying bonds which came with
expected germane criticism too. The single currency rose
yesterday after announcing the decision of having the
interest rate unchanged at 0.75% but after receiving the
decision of releasing unlimited buying bonds plan from the
secondary market in an unlimited way during the consequent
press conference, the single
currency came under the pressure which eased back again
brining the single currency again to be traded above 1.26
versus the greenback waiting for today US labor market data
which will be closely watched by the markets to have new
clues about the US labor market which always takes the care
of the Fed which came under a lighter pressure to decide a
new QE3 soon following last US non-farm payrolls release of
July improved to 163k in July from 64k in June underpinning
the greenback.
But anyway now the USD is under
pressure as the market sentiment has been shifted from
discounting an easing action by the Fed, if the US economy
to deteriorate further to such an action from the Fed, if it
is not to improve soon since the release of the minutes of
the Fed's last meeting in august which can suggest that
having non-farm payrolls numbers again below 100k in August
as what have been in the previous 3 months to July can
warrant a new action by the Fed instead soon of waiting for
having negative numbers again as most expectations were
referring by these minutes.
God willing, the US labor
report of August is expected to show declining of the
non-farm payrolls of to 125k with stable unemployment rate
at 8.3% as it was in July while the existing cheeriness of
having better data are still underpinning the equities
markets following this week release of US ADP Employment
change of August which rose to 201k from 173k while the
consensus was referring to 140k.
By God's will, The single
currency is expected to meet resistance again at 1.265
versus the greenback whereas it failed to surpass yesterday
and also by the end of last week when it was satisfied by
reaching 1.2636 and a continuation of this rising can be met
by another resisting level at 1.2693 before 1.2748 which has
been reached after the recent parliament elections in Greece
in last June while easing down back again can be met with
supporting levels at 1.2464, 1.24., 1.2241, 1.2134 before
1.2042 which could stave off the pair falling last month and
in the case of falling below it, this can open the way for
testing 1.20 psychological level which can be followed by
reaching 1.1876 again whereas the pair has rebounded forming
its bottom on 7th of June 2010